Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046974 0.051084 0.055245 0.059768 0.064538 0.069412 0.074761
2025-06-29 0.040318 0.046324 0.052627 0.059707 0.067412 0.075518 0.084665
2025-07-06 0.036477 0.043964 0.052063 0.061415 0.071855 0.083094 0.096049
2025-07-13 0.032041 0.040441 0.049796 0.060876 0.073533 0.087440 0.103769
2025-07-20 0.028816 0.037945 0.048381 0.061023 0.075757 0.092228 0.111870
2025-07-27 0.026554 0.036338 0.047787 0.061935 0.078709 0.097737 0.120724
2025-08-03 0.024929 0.035330 0.047762 0.063395 0.082210 0.103823 0.130223
2025-08-10 0.021767 0.032172 0.044926 0.061291 0.081327 0.104673 0.133540
2025-08-17 0.019721 0.030273 0.043496 0.060769 0.082227 0.107533 0.139146
2025-08-24 0.017885 0.028507 0.042113 0.060192 0.082969 0.110135 0.144398
2025-08-31 0.017199 0.028226 0.042590 0.061925 0.086538 0.116141 0.153739
2025-09-07 0.016358 0.027666 0.042650 0.063085 0.089370 0.121245 0.162008
2025-09-14 0.015345 0.026827 0.042331 0.063771 0.091657 0.125770 0.169709
2025-09-21 0.014197 0.025720 0.041592 0.063866 0.093168 0.129334 0.176260
2025-09-28 0.013751 0.025610 0.042196 0.065731 0.096960 0.135761 0.186378
2025-10-05 0.012557 0.024295 0.041059 0.065204 0.097610 0.138228 0.191592
2025-10-12 0.011682 0.023406 0.040470 0.065377 0.099144 0.141793 0.198173
2025-10-19 0.011112 0.022955 0.040475 0.066341 0.101707 0.146663 0.206399
2025-10-26 0.010746 0.022804 0.040898 0.067876 0.105031 0.152522 0.215899
2025-11-02 0.009399 0.020942 0.038713 0.065673 0.103277 0.151799 0.217039
2025-11-09 0.008588 0.019920 0.037731 0.065126 0.103722 0.153893 0.221742
2025-11-16 0.007829 0.018926 0.036740 0.064522 0.104053 0.155815 0.226213
2025-11-23 0.007676 0.019005 0.037410 0.066338 0.107730 0.162146 0.236387